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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Halesowen Town host Alvechurch in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Halesowen Town 1–1 Alvechurch.
Going into the match, Halesowen Town had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Alvechurch had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Halesowen Town's last 10 and 4 of Alvechurch's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Halesowen Town averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Alvechurch averaged 1.70 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Halesowen Town and 1.36 from Alvechurch. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 48%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Halesowen Town (green) and Alvechurch (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halesowen Town | DLDWW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
| Alvechurch | LWDLD | 1.70 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Halesowen Town Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.