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Ykkösliiga · Finland
Haka vs PK-35 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Haka host PK-35 in the Ykkösliiga (Finland) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Haka 3–0 PK-35.
Going into the match, Haka had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. PK-35 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Haka's last 10 and 4 of PK-35's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Haka averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home PK-35 averaged 2.50 scored and 0.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Haka and 1.39 from PK-35. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 35%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Haka (green) and PK-35 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 Jul 2026 · PK-35 1–4 Haka
- 11 Apr 2026 · PK-35 0–0 Haka
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.