Hajer vs Al Najma prediction and preview

20 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Al Najma WinOdds 1.55Market probability 57%Final score 2–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hajer host Al Najma in the Division 1 (Saudi Arabia) on 20 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Najma Win — Al Najma to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hajer 2–4 Al Najma.

Going into the match, Hajer had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Al Najma had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Hajer's last 9 and 5 of Al Najma's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hajer averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Al Najma averaged 0.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Hajer and 1.68 from Al Najma. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 49%, against 18%, 24% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hajer (green) and Al Najma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals17% – 83%

Overall strength31% – 68%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Hajer	DLDDW	1.11	1.22	56%	56%
Al Najma	WDDDD	1.10	1.20	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	75%	1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.39
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.38
Al Najma Win	57%	1.55
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.75
BTTS No	51%	1.78
Over 2.5 Goals	48%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.