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V.League 1 · Vietnam
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hai Phong host Thanh Hóa in the V.League 1 (Vietnam) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hai Phong 1–2 Thanh Hóa.
Going into the match, Hai Phong had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Thanh Hóa had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hai Phong's last 10 and 4 of Thanh Hóa's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hai Phong averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Thanh Hóa averaged 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Hai Phong and 1.10 from Thanh Hóa. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 24%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hai Phong (green) and Thanh Hóa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hai Phong Win | 47% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.