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V.League 1 · Vietnam
Ha Noi vs Bắc Ninh prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ha Noi host Bắc Ninh in the V.League 1 (Vietnam) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ha Noi 1–0 Bắc Ninh.
Going into the match, Ha Noi had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Bắc Ninh had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Ha Noi's last 10 and 7 of Bắc Ninh's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ha Noi averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bắc Ninh averaged 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Ha Noi and 1.50 from Bắc Ninh. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 42%, against 61%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ha Noi (green) and Bắc Ninh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Ha Noi Win | 63% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Ha Noi HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.