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K3 League · South Korea
Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gyeongju HNP host Mokpo City in the K3 League (South Korea) on 11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Gyeongju HNP Win — Gyeongju HNP to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gyeongju HNP 1–1 Mokpo City.
Going into the match, Gyeongju HNP had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Mokpo City had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gyeongju HNP's last 10 and 7 of Mokpo City's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gyeongju HNP averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Mokpo City averaged 1.00 scored and 2.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Gyeongju HNP and 0.87 from Mokpo City. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gyeongju HNP (green) and Mokpo City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyeongju HNP | WWWWD | 1.70 | 1.40 | 50% | 70% |
| Mokpo City | WWLWL | 1.40 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Mokpo City 0–1 Gyeongju HNP
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Gyeongju HNP Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Gyeongju HNP HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.