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K League 1 · South Korea
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gwangju FC host Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 31 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Gwangju FC +1.5 Asian Handicap — Gwangju FC +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gwangju FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Gimcheon Sangmu FC had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Gwangju FC's last 10 and 5 of Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gwangju FC averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Gimcheon Sangmu FC averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Gwangju FC and 1.31 from Gimcheon Sangmu FC. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 31%, 26% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gwangju FC (green) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC | WLWDD | 1.80 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | LDLWD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Gwangju FC
- 22 Jul 2026 · Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22