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Non League Premier - Northern · England

Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town prediction and preview

20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.85Market probability 51%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Guiseley AFC host Cleethorpes Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Guiseley AFC 2–1 Cleethorpes Town.

Going into the match, Guiseley AFC had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 8. Cleethorpes Town had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Guiseley AFC's last 10 and 5 of Cleethorpes Town's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guiseley AFC averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Cleethorpes Town averaged 2.00 scored and 0.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Guiseley AFC and 1.11 from Cleethorpes Town. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Guiseley AFC (green) and Cleethorpes Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form52% – 48%
Attack61% – 39%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals40% – 60%
Overall strength41% – 58%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Guiseley AFCWWWWL2.300.8050%60%
Cleethorpes TownWWDWD2.300.8050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals69%1.31
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals64%1.41
BTTS Yes54%1.67
Under 2.5 Goals51%1.85
Guiseley AFC Win39%2.20
Draw27%3.60
1-112%7.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Non League Premier - Northern matches that day