Home › League stats › League One › Guangzhou E-Power vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
League One · China
Guangzhou E-Power vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guangzhou E-Power host Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the League One (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Guangzhou E-Power Win — Guangzhou E-Power to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guangzhou E-Power 3–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Going into the match, Guangzhou E-Power had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 7. Heilongjiang Lava Spring had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Guangzhou E-Power's last 10 and 8 of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guangzhou E-Power averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Heilongjiang Lava Spring averaged 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.10 goals from Guangzhou E-Power and 0.97 from Heilongjiang Lava Spring. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 8%, against 74%, 16% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guangzhou E-Power (green) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou E-Power | WWDDW | 2.40 | 0.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | DDLLL | 1.40 | 2.10 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–3 Guangzhou E-Power
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Guangzhou E-Power Win | 75% | 1.22 |
| Guangzhou E-Power 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Guangzhou E-Power HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.