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League One · China
Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guangxi Hengchen host Shenzhen Juniors in the League One (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guangxi Hengchen 1–1 Shenzhen Juniors.
Going into the match, Guangxi Hengchen had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Shenzhen Juniors had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Guangxi Hengchen's last 10 and 5 of Shenzhen Juniors's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guangxi Hengchen averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Shenzhen Juniors averaged 1.83 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Guangxi Hengchen and 1.25 from Shenzhen Juniors. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%, against 48%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guangxi Hengchen (green) and Shenzhen Juniors (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangxi Hengchen | LWWWL | 1.40 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
| Shenzhen Juniors | LDDWW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Shenzhen Juniors 1–1 Guangxi Hengchen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.