Home › League stats › Primera División › Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá
Primera División · Bolivia
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gualberto Villarroel SJ host Guabirá in the Primera División (Bolivia) on 12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4–1 Guabirá.
Going into the match, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 26. Guabirá had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gualberto Villarroel SJ's last 10 and 8 of Guabirá's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gualberto Villarroel SJ averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Guabirá averaged 0.92 scored and 2.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 1.47 from Guabirá. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 33%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gualberto Villarroel SJ (green) and Guabirá (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | LWLLL | 0.90 | 2.60 | 50% | 70% |
| Guabirá | WWLLW | 1.30 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Guabirá 3–0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ Win | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.