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Liga Pro Serie B · Ecuador
Gualaceo SC vs Cumbayá prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gualaceo SC host Cumbayá in the Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador) on 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gualaceo SC 1–1 Cumbayá.
Going into the match, Gualaceo SC had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Cumbayá had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gualaceo SC's last 10 and 3 of Cumbayá's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gualaceo SC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Cumbayá averaged 1.21 scored and 0.79 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Gualaceo SC and 0.78 from Cumbayá. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 26%, against 41%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gualaceo SC | WWLDW | 1.50 | 0.90 | 30% | 50% |
| Cumbayá | WWLLD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Sep 2026 · Cumbayá 0–1 Gualaceo SC
- 10 Jun 2026 · Gualaceo SC 1–0 Cumbayá
- 8 Apr 2026 · Cumbayá 1–1 Gualaceo SC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.64 |
| Gualaceo SC Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.