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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapeguá prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guairena FC host Sportivo Carapeguá in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 23 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Guairena FC had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 18. Sportivo Carapeguá had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Guairena FC's last 10 and 6 of Sportivo Carapeguá's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guairena FC averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Sportivo Carapeguá averaged 1.31 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Guairena FC and 1.18 from Sportivo Carapeguá. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 43%, against 30%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guairena FC (green) and Sportivo Carapeguá (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guairena FC | LWLLL | 0.50 | 1.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Sportivo Carapeguá | LWDWD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Jul 2026 · Sportivo Carapeguá 2–1 Guairena FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá Win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.