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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Guairena FC vs Encarnación prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guairena FC host Encarnación in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Encarnación to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guairena FC 1–0 Encarnación.
Going into the match, Guairena FC had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Encarnación had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Guairena FC's last 10 and 4 of Encarnación's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guairena FC averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Encarnación averaged 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Guairena FC and 0.93 from Encarnación. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 33%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guairena FC (green) and Encarnación (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guairena FC | LLLDL | 0.70 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Encarnación | LLWLD | 1.00 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jul 2026 · Encarnación 1–2 Guairena FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Encarnación Win | 33% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.