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Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guadeloupe host St. Lucia in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — St. Lucia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guadeloupe 0–1 St. Lucia.
Going into the match, Guadeloupe had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. St. Lucia had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3, with 8 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Guadeloupe's last 3 and 1 of St. Lucia's last 3; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guadeloupe averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home St. Lucia averaged 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 28% for Guadeloupe, 24% for the draw and 48% for St. Lucia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guadeloupe (green) and St. Lucia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadeloupe | LDW | 1.33 | 2.00 | 67% | 100% |
| St. Lucia | WWL | 2.67 | 1.33 | 33% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 3 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Oct 2026 · St. Lucia 3–0 Guadeloupe
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| St. Lucia Win | 48% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.