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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guadalupe FC host Cariari Pococi in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 17 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guadalupe FC 1–0 Cariari Pococi.
Going into the match, Guadalupe FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Cariari Pococi had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Guadalupe FC's last 10 and 6 of Cariari Pococi's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guadalupe FC averaged 0.43 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Cariari Pococi averaged 0.83 scored and 0.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Guadalupe FC and 1.05 from Cariari Pococi. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 50%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guadalupe FC (green) and Cariari Pococi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalupe FC | WWDLL | 1.30 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Cariari Pococi | WLLDW | 1.10 | 1.10 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · Cariari Pococi 3–3 Guadalupe FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Guadalupe FC Win | 49% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga de Ascenso matches that day
- Futbol Consultants Moravia vs CS Uruguay · 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Liga de Ascenso
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60