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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Guadalajara W vs Juárez W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guadalajara W host Juárez W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 4 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guadalajara W 1–0 Juárez W.
Going into the match, Guadalajara W had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Juárez W had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Guadalajara W's last 10 and 3 of Juárez W's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guadalajara W averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Juárez W averaged 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Guadalajara W and 0.99 from Juárez W. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 42%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guadalajara W (green) and Juárez W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara W | WWLWL | 2.00 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Juárez W | WWWWW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Juárez W 1–1 Guadalajara W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.