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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Guadalajara vs Getafe II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guadalajara host Getafe II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Guadalajara to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guadalajara 4–1 Getafe II.
Going into the match, Guadalajara had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Getafe II had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Guadalajara's last 10 and 4 of Getafe II's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guadalajara averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Getafe II averaged 0.78 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Guadalajara and 0.98 from Getafe II. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 50%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guadalajara (green) and Getafe II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | DDLWL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Getafe II | DLDLD | 0.70 | 1.30 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Guadalajara Win | 47% | 1.80 |
| Guadalajara HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.