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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Grom Nowy Staw host Bałtyk Koszalin in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Grom Nowy Staw 1–3 Bałtyk Koszalin.
Going into the match, Grom Nowy Staw had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 25. Bałtyk Koszalin had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Grom Nowy Staw's last 10 and 6 of Bałtyk Koszalin's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grom Nowy Staw averaged 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bałtyk Koszalin averaged 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Grom Nowy Staw and 1.43 from Bałtyk Koszalin. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 24% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Grom Nowy Staw (green) and Bałtyk Koszalin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grom Nowy Staw | WWLDW | 2.70 | 2.50 | 80% | 90% |
| Bałtyk Koszalin | WLLDW | 1.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.57 |
| Grom Nowy Staw Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Grom Nowy Staw HT & FT | 30% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.