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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Groene Ster vs GOES prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Groene Ster host GOES in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Groene Ster 2–1 GOES.
Going into the match, Groene Ster had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 27. GOES had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Groene Ster's last 10 and 7 of GOES's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Groene Ster averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home GOES averaged 2.00 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Groene Ster and 2.41 from GOES. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 51%, against 54%, 21% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Groene Ster (green) and GOES (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groene Ster | LLLDW | 1.50 | 2.70 | 90% | 80% |
| GOES | LWWWD | 1.90 | 2.10 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Groene Ster Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Groene Ster HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.