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Regionalliga - Bayern · Germany
Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Greuther Fürth II host Bayern München II in the Regionalliga - Bayern (Germany) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Bayern München II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Greuther Fürth II 1–1 Bayern München II.
Going into the match, Greuther Fürth II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Bayern München II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Greuther Fürth II's last 10 and 3 of Bayern München II's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Greuther Fürth II averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bayern München II averaged 1.18 scored and 2.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Greuther Fürth II and 1.39 from Bayern München II. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 34%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Greuther Fürth II (green) and Bayern München II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Fürth II | WLDWL | 1.40 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
| Bayern München II | WWDLW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.37 |
| Double Chance X2 | 66% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.13 |
| Bayern München II Win | 41% | 2.22 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.