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Copa do Brasil U20 · Brazil

Grêmio U20 vs Operário PR U20 prediction and preview

8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Grêmio U20 WinOdds 1.53Market probability 64%Final score 1–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Grêmio U20 host Operário PR U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 (Brazil) on 8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Grêmio U20 Win — Grêmio U20 to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Grêmio U20 1–3 Operário PR U20.

Going into the match, Grêmio U20 had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Operário PR U20 had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Grêmio U20's last 10 and 7 of Operário PR U20's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grêmio U20 averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Operário PR U20 averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Grêmio U20 and 1.22 from Operário PR U20. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, against 59%, 23% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Grêmio U20 (green) and Operário PR U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack63% – 38%
Defence100% – 0%
Overall strength56% – 44%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Grêmio U20WLLWW1.601.3030%60%
Operário PR U20DLLLL1.301.9070%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No77%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.24
Grêmio U20 Win59%1.53
Over 2.5 Goals59%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals59%1.55
BTTS Yes57%1.61
Under 2.5 Goals41%2.35
Grêmio U20 HT & FT40%2.34

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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