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USL League One · USA
Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Greenville Triumph host Spokane Velocity in the USL League One (USA) on 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Greenville Triumph 4–3 Spokane Velocity.
Going into the match, Greenville Triumph had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Spokane Velocity had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Greenville Triumph's last 10 and 7 of Spokane Velocity's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Greenville Triumph averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Spokane Velocity averaged 1.15 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Greenville Triumph and 1.79 from Spokane Velocity. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 31%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Greenville Triumph (green) and Spokane Velocity (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville Triumph | DLLLL | 1.10 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Spokane Velocity | WDWWD | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Aug 2026 · Spokane Velocity 2–1 Greenville Triumph
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Spokane Velocity Win | 40% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.