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Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Grazer AK host Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga (Austria) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Grazer AK 0–0 Red Bull Salzburg.
Going into the match, Grazer AK had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Red Bull Salzburg had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Grazer AK's last 10 and 4 of Red Bull Salzburg's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grazer AK averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Red Bull Salzburg averaged 2.62 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Grazer AK and 2.10 from Red Bull Salzburg. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 60%, against 16%, 22% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Grazer AK (green) and Red Bull Salzburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | WDWWD | 1.70 | 1.70 | 40% | 70% |
| Red Bull Salzburg | LWWDW | 2.50 | 0.50 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Red Bull Salzburg Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.