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Serie D - Girone E · Italy

Grassina vs Lucchese prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No priceFinal score 3–6

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Grassina host Lucchese in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Lucchese to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Grassina 3–6 Lucchese.

Going into the match, Grassina had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Lucchese had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Grassina's last 5 and 2 of Lucchese's last 5; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grassina averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Lucchese averaged 0.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Grassina and 2.23 from Lucchese. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 54%. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Grassina (green) and Lucchese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form17% – 83%
Attack23% – 77%
Defence53% – 47%
Overall strength31% – 69%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
GrassinaDLDLL0.601.4040%20%
LuccheseWDWLW2.001.6040%80%

Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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