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Primera División Femenina · Spain

Granada vs Eibar W prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.65Market probability 57%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Granada host Eibar W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Granada 0–0 Eibar W.

Going into the match, Granada had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Eibar W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Granada's last 10 and 3 of Eibar W's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Granada averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Eibar W averaged 0.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Granada and 1.11 from Eibar W. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 36%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Granada (green) and Eibar W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence31% – 69%
Head-to-head93% – 7%
Goals90% – 10%
Overall strength61% – 38%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
GranadaWLLWL1.102.0050%60%
Eibar WWWLDW1.001.0030%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1272%1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals57%1.65
BTTS No54%1.73
Granada Win45%2.00
Under 1.5 Goals31%3.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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