Granada vs Atletico Madrid W prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ciudad Deportiva del Granada

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Granada host Atletico Madrid W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Granada had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Atletico Madrid W had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Granada's last 10 and 5 of Atletico Madrid W's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Granada averaged 1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Atletico Madrid W averaged 1.71 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Granada and 1.99 from Atletico Madrid W. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 58%, against 22%, 23% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Granada (green) and Atletico Madrid W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form37% – 63%

Attack24% – 76%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals11% – 89%

Overall strength26% – 73%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Granada	LWDWL	1.10	2.00	40%	60%
Atletico Madrid W	WWWLW	2.00	1.50	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	78%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
BTTS Yes	57%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	57%	1.62
Atletico Madrid W Win	56%	1.65

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.