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Segunda División · Spain
Granada CF vs Valladolid prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Granada CF host Valladolid in the Segunda División (Spain) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Granada CF had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Valladolid had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Granada CF's last 10 and 5 of Valladolid's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Granada CF averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Valladolid averaged 1.08 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Granada CF and 1.17 from Valladolid. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 42%, 30% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Granada CF (green) and Valladolid (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | WWWLL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Valladolid | LWDWD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.