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Prva Liga · Serbia
Grafičar vs Javor prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Grafičar host Javor in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Javor Win — Javor to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Grafičar 1–1 Javor.
Going into the match, Grafičar had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Javor had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Grafičar's last 10 and 8 of Javor's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grafičar averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Javor averaged 1.60 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Grafičar and 2.16 from Javor. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 57%, against 19%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Grafičar (green) and Javor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Javor Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Javor HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.