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Prva Liga · Serbia
Grafičar vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Grafičar host FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Grafičar had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 22. FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Grafičar's last 10 and 5 of FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grafičar averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV averaged 1.18 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.15 goals from Grafičar and 1.54 from FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 27%, against 33%, 27% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Grafičar (green) and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grafičar | LDLWL | 1.40 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | DLLLL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Prva Liga matches that day
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Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Borac Cacak vs Napredak · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Metalac GM vs Javor · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Javor Win @ 2.06 - Naftagas vs FK Vozdovac · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - OFK Bor 1919 vs Jedinstvo Ub · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2