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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Gozzano vs Ligorna prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gozzano host Ligorna in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.66, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gozzano 0–4 Ligorna.
Going into the match, Gozzano had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Ligorna had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gozzano's last 10 and 8 of Ligorna's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gozzano averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Ligorna averaged 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Gozzano and 2.13 from Ligorna. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 60%, against 33%, 28% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gozzano (green) and Ligorna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Ligorna Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.