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Elitettan · Sweden
Göteborg W vs Alingsås W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Göteborg W host Alingsås W in the Elitettan (Sweden) on 4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Göteborg W Win — Göteborg W to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Göteborg W 2–1 Alingsås W.
Going into the match, Göteborg W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 11. Alingsås W had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Göteborg W's last 10 and 7 of Alingsås W's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Göteborg W averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Alingsås W averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Göteborg W and 0.58 from Alingsås W. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 9%, against 69%, 18% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Göteborg W (green) and Alingsås W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Göteborg W | DLDLW | 2.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 70% |
| Alingsås W | LDWLD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · Alingsås W 1–1 Göteborg W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Göteborg W Win | 69% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| Göteborg W 1st Half Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.77 |
| Göteborg W HT & FT | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.