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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Gosport Borough vs Poole Town prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gosport Borough host Poole Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 7 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gosport Borough 1–3 Poole Town.
Going into the match, Gosport Borough had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Poole Town had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Gosport Borough's last 10 and 5 of Poole Town's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gosport Borough averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Poole Town averaged 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Gosport Borough and 1.35 from Poole Town. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 37%, against 34%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gosport Borough (green) and Poole Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gosport Borough | DWDWL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 80% | 50% |
| Poole Town | WWWWL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.