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Central Youth League · Poland
Górnik Zabrze U19 vs Arka Gdynia U19 prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Górnik Zabrze U19 host Arka Gdynia U19 in the Central Youth League (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Górnik Zabrze U19 5–1 Arka Gdynia U19.
Going into the match, Górnik Zabrze U19 had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Arka Gdynia U19 had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 9 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Górnik Zabrze U19's last 10 and 5 of Arka Gdynia U19's last 8; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Górnik Zabrze U19 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Arka Gdynia U19 averaged 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.66 goals from Górnik Zabrze U19 and 0.86 from Arka Gdynia U19. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 9%, against 55%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Górnik Zabrze U19 (green) and Arka Gdynia U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Zabrze U19 | WLDDL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
| Arka Gdynia U19 | LLLLD | 1.13 | 1.75 | 63% | 38% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Górnik Zabrze U19 Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.71 |
| Górnik Zabrze U19 HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.