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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Górnik Polkowice host Stilon Gorzów in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Górnik Polkowice 4–1 Stilon Gorzów.
Going into the match, Górnik Polkowice had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Stilon Gorzów had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Górnik Polkowice's last 10 and 8 of Stilon Gorzów's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Górnik Polkowice averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Stilon Gorzów averaged 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Górnik Polkowice and 1.37 from Stilon Gorzów. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 24%, against 55%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Górnik Polkowice (green) and Stilon Gorzów (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Polkowice | DLLLW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Stilon Gorzów | WDLDD | 1.70 | 1.40 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Górnik Polkowice Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
| Górnik Polkowice HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.