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II Liga - East · Poland
Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Górnik Łęczna host Chojniczanka Chojnice in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Górnik Łęczna 3–1 Chojniczanka Chojnice.
Going into the match, Górnik Łęczna had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 10. Chojniczanka Chojnice had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Górnik Łęczna's last 10 and 6 of Chojniczanka Chojnice's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Górnik Łęczna averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chojniczanka Chojnice averaged 1.64 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Górnik Łęczna and 1.54 from Chojniczanka Chojnice. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 30%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Górnik Łęczna (green) and Chojniczanka Chojnice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | DDWWD | 2.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | WWDDW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.