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3. Lig - Group 1 · Turkey
Gölcükspor vs Galata prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gölcükspor host Galata in the 3. Lig - Group 1 (Turkey) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Galata to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gölcükspor 1–1 Galata.
Going into the match, Gölcükspor had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Galata had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Gölcükspor's last 6 and 6 of Galata's last 9; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gölcükspor averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Galata averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Gölcükspor and 1.07 from Galata. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 40%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gölcükspor (green) and Galata (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gölcükspor | WLLDW | 1.17 | 1.17 | 17% | 17% |
| Galata | DWWDD | 1.11 | 0.89 | 67% | 22% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Galata Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
| 1-1 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.