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Serie B · Brazil
Goias vs Nautico Recife prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Goias host Nautico Recife in the Serie B (Brazil) on 19 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Goias 0–0 Nautico Recife.
Going into the match, Goias had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Nautico Recife had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Goias's last 10 and 6 of Nautico Recife's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Goias averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Nautico Recife averaged 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Goias and 0.92 from Nautico Recife. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Goias (green) and Nautico Recife (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goias | WWLLW | 1.20 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Nautico Recife | LLDWL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Jun 2026 · Nautico Recife 0–1 Goias
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Goias Win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.