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Serie B · Brazil
Goias vs Athletic Club prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Goias host Athletic Club in the Serie B (Brazil) on 6 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Goias 2–1 Athletic Club.
Going into the match, Goias had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Athletic Club had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Goias's last 10 and 6 of Athletic Club's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Goias averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Athletic Club averaged 1.27 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Goias and 0.93 from Athletic Club. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 27%, against 54%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Goias (green) and Athletic Club (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goias | LLWWL | 0.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Athletic Club | LDDWL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Athletic Club 1–1 Goias
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| Goias Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.