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Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan vs Inter Turku prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gnistan host Inter Turku in the Veikkausliiga (Finland) on 7 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gnistan 0–0 Inter Turku.
Going into the match, Gnistan had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Inter Turku had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Gnistan's last 10 and 4 of Inter Turku's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gnistan averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Inter Turku averaged 1.58 scored and 1.21 conceded across 19.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Gnistan and 1.02 from Inter Turku. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 32%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gnistan (green) and Inter Turku (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gnistan | DWDDW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 80% | 50% |
| Inter Turku | WWLWW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Inter Turku 1–2 Gnistan
- 5 May 2026 · Gnistan 2–0 Inter Turku
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Inter Turku Win | 48% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.