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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Gloucester City vs Taunton Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gloucester City host Taunton Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gloucester City had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Taunton Town had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Gloucester City's last 10 and 9 of Taunton Town's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gloucester City averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Taunton Town averaged 2.14 scored and 2.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from Gloucester City and 1.71 from Taunton Town. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 26%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gloucester City (green) and Taunton Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | WWDWL | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Taunton Town | LDWLL | 2.50 | 2.50 | 90% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Gloucester City Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Gloucester City HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.