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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Glentoran host Dungannon Swifts in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Glentoran 2–0 Dungannon Swifts.
Going into the match, Glentoran had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Dungannon Swifts had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Glentoran's last 10 and 3 of Dungannon Swifts's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Glentoran averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Dungannon Swifts averaged 1.47 scored and 1.67 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Glentoran and 1.05 from Dungannon Swifts. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Glentoran (green) and Dungannon Swifts (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | WWLDL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
| Dungannon Swifts | DLLWW | 1.30 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Glentoran 5–0 Dungannon Swifts
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Glentoran Win | 55% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.