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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Giugliano vs Foggia prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Giugliano host Foggia in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Giugliano 3–1 Foggia.
Going into the match, Giugliano had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Foggia had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Giugliano's last 10 and 4 of Foggia's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Giugliano averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Foggia averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Giugliano and 1.38 from Foggia. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 32%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Giugliano (green) and Foggia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Foggia Win | 40% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.