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Segunda División · Spain
Girona vs Mallorca prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Girona host Mallorca in the Segunda División (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Girona 0–0 Mallorca.
Going into the match, Girona had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Mallorca had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Girona's last 10 and 2 of Mallorca's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Girona averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Mallorca averaged 0.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Girona and 1.10 from Mallorca. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 40%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Girona (green) and Mallorca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 May 2026 · Girona 0–1 Mallorca
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.