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K League 2 · South Korea
Gimpo Citizen vs Gimhae City prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimpo Citizen host Gimhae City in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gimpo Citizen had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Gimhae City had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Gimpo Citizen's last 10 and 5 of Gimhae City's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimpo Citizen averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Gimhae City averaged 1.23 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Gimpo Citizen and 0.91 from Gimhae City. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 15%, against 54%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimpo Citizen (green) and Gimhae City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo Citizen | WLWDL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Gimhae City | LDLLD | 0.80 | 2.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Gimhae City 1–2 Gimpo Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Gimpo Citizen Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 2 matches that day
- Jeonnam Dragons vs Daegu FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53