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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnástica Torrelavega host Marino de Luanco in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Gimnástica Torrelavega to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–2 Marino de Luanco.
Going into the match, Gimnástica Torrelavega had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Marino de Luanco had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 10 and 3 of Marino de Luanco's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnástica Torrelavega averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Marino de Luanco averaged 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Gimnástica Torrelavega and 1.59 from Marino de Luanco. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 44%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnástica Torrelavega (green) and Marino de Luanco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | DLLWW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
| Marino de Luanco | LLLWW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.