Home › League stats › Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 › Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnástica Segoviana host Real Valladolid II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.66, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Real Valladolid II.
Going into the match, Gimnástica Segoviana had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Real Valladolid II had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gimnástica Segoviana's last 10 and 3 of Real Valladolid II's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnástica Segoviana averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Real Valladolid II averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Gimnástica Segoviana and 1.45 from Real Valladolid II. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 41%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnástica Segoviana (green) and Real Valladolid II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | DWLLW | 1.40 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Real Valladolid II | WLWLW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.