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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnasia L.P. host Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 9 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Atletico Tucuman.
Going into the match, Gimnasia L.P. had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Atletico Tucuman had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Gimnasia L.P.'s last 10 and 5 of Atletico Tucuman's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnasia L.P. averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Atletico Tucuman averaged 1.11 scored and 0.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Gimnasia L.P. and 0.99 from Atletico Tucuman. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 50%, 29% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnasia L.P. (green) and Atletico Tucuman (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P. | DDDWW | 1.50 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
| Atletico Tucuman | LLDLW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.70 |
| Gimnasia L.P. Win | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.