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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnasia Chivilcoy host Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Going into the match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Olimpo Bahia Blanca had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gimnasia Chivilcoy's last 10 and 4 of Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 10; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnasia Chivilcoy averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 0.64 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Gimnasia Chivilcoy and 0.55 from Olimpo Bahia Blanca. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 42% and an away win at 23%, against 46%, 32% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnasia Chivilcoy (green) and Olimpo Bahia Blanca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy | LDWWW | 0.90 | 0.60 | 30% | 20% |
| Olimpo Bahia Blanca | WDDLW | 1.10 | 0.50 | 40% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Sep 2026 · Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 55% | 1.68 |
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.75 |
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy HT & FT | 28% | 3.25 |
| 1-0 | 21% | 4.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.