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EFL Trophy · England
Gillingham vs Brighton U21 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gillingham host Brighton U21 in the EFL Trophy (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gillingham 4–3 Brighton U21.
Going into the match, Gillingham had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Brighton U21 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gillingham's last 10 and 7 of Brighton U21's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gillingham averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Brighton U21 averaged 1.71 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Gillingham and 1.81 from Brighton U21. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 29%, against 45%, 22% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gillingham (green) and Brighton U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | WDLLW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Brighton U21 | WLWWD | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Double Chance 1X | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Gillingham Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Gillingham HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.